Monday, April 29, 2024

A bike lane on Cambridge Street in East Cambridge. (Photo: Marc Levy)

The bet is that owners of private Cambridge parking lots such as East Cambridge Savings Bank or Lesley University will open their unused spaces to shoppers, diners, worshippers and residents with nowhere else to go after bike lanes replace street parking.

If the bet pays off, lanes on Main Street, Cambridge Street and Broadway will go in as recommended by the city’s Cycling Safety Ordinance with no pain to places and people dependent on cars. 

But before the city know how that plays out, there’s something else at risk: the bike-lane law’s deadline, which city councillors Paul Toner, Joan Pickett and Ayesha Wilson want extended by a year and a half to allow time for the enactment of the parking change. 

The order calling for the change in parking-lot zoning passed 8-0 on April 8, while the possible extension of the bike-lane deadline to Nov. 1, 2027, from May 1, 2026, was put on pause before a vote. With Patriot’s Day and Passover on successive Mondays, debate can’t be heard again until April 29.

“If we are going to take the time to mitigate the parking, this is what they would need to be able to move forward,” Toner said. “Staff are going to continue to work on the design and the planning for Cambridge Street, Main Street and Broadway.” 

With the deadline on the 2019 law approaching to complete its required 22.6 bicycle-lane miles, councillors are weighing the urgency and frequency of cyclist crashes with the potential negative impacts on businesses. But Toner said the change would mean simply that instead of installing bike lanes on those three major business corridors, staff would “turn the focus to several other streets and do the work there.”

There was a flaw in that reasoning for vice mayor Marc McGovern, who wanted to instead “build the mitigation into the current planning cycle.”

“Do what you have to do to mitigate, but let’s not pretend that a delay doesn’t cause risk to people,” McGovern said, pointing to a 2023 city report showing that where bike lanes are installed, ridership goes up and crashes go down. Cambridge Street saw 60 crashes within two years, and 40 of them resulted in injuries, he said. “If I think something is safer and necessary, how do I vote to delay that implementation for 15 to 18 months? Just keep my fingers crossed that nothing bad happens in that time?”

Tradeoffs, and a timing risk

The findings were fuzzier in a Cycling Safety Ordinance Economic Impact Study from January, in which businesses where bike lanes had been installed “were more likely to report a decrease in revenue [that] was statistically significant,” but hard data was lacking; the study period was filled with complicating factors such as the Covid pandemic and a surge in inflation and economic pessimism; and “the voluntary nature of the survey means that it may not be fully representative of all affected businesses.”

Businesses and others affected by the lanes or fearing their effect have been vocal at council meetings, and filed two lawsuits against the city to stop the installations.

“There have been tremendous benefits to the installation of bike lanes,” City Manager Yi-An Huang told the council. “There have also been challenges, and I’ve certainly had a lot of the same meetings with churches, store owners and restaurants.”

“This is a real set of tradeoffs that we are discussing in terms of the speed with which we can install bike lanes versus how we can mitigate the impacts on residents and businesses that most severely feel the impact of parking loss,” Huang said.

Beyond the human risk, there are ways that bike-lane delays on three of the city’s busiest streets could backfire, transportation commissioner Brooke McKenna said.

Putting a hold on the three streets and “starting them up as soon as the mitigation is available means that we’re then doing a lot of projects at the same time in the same general part of the city,” McKenna said. “There’s less time or just less space for the community to absorb the parking changes.”

Unknown capacity

The parking changes may work out, and Toner said he and East Cambridge Business Association executive director Jason Alves have been making private inquiries – finding some parking-lot owners “who are open to the idea” – to see what appetite there is for reuse of spaces on private lots. (There are also some under-the-table arrangements in place that could come out in the open with the zoning change, Toner said.) City staff said they have not looked into capacity, and that if the change is put in place it would not be the role of the city to negotiate deals; nor is the city yet looking to put part-time meters in private lots. It would issue commercial parking permits if a lot were to be open to the general public rather than reserved by specific businesses, McKenna said.

Despite the hint of optimism from the legwork by Toner and Alves, McGovern expressed caution.

“I don’t want to be Debbie Downer,” McGovern said. “We’ve got to be careful in saying, ‘Oh, if we do this, all these parking spaces are going to open up.’ We don’t know if anyone’s going to want to rent their parking spaces to to the public.”

The parking zoning is complex, with rules scattered through the city code and needing to tested carefully to guard against unintended consequences, said assistant city manager for community development Iram Farooq. But McGovern argued for ordinance-change recommendations coming to the council no later than the first meeting in October, and Farooq said that was “reasonable.” The work has begun, she said.

It’s among the first steps from a plan to reshape Cambridge transportation over the next decade that includes more than 30 action items – most meant to push residents gently away from driving and parking.